15 days ago
Lobo Tiggre, author and publisher of theindependentspeculator.com acknowledges that there were signs of a recession in various sectors in 2022, but low interest rates and labour hoarding prevented it from fully materializing. However, he believes that a recession will soon become undeniable, possibly in the first half of 2024, based on indicators such as the declining trend in job openings. Tiggre expects a softer landing for the economy only if indicators prove to be wrong and the overall health of the economy is stronger than believed.
47 days ago
Analyst Jonathan Mergott discusses the state of the metal markets, particularly silver and gold miners. He says that bearish sentiment remains in the market, with Comex inventories aligning with this sentiment and the Bulls dropping to 8% on DSI. The Fed’s forward path was identified as a potential influence on gold prices.
117 days ago
Asset Manager Adrian Day, CEO of Adrian Day Asset Management is terribly bearish on the current state of the economy and investor expectations. Day believes that the effects of the Fed’s aggressive rate hikes in January 2020 will soon be felt, but he does not predict a market crash. However, there is a tug of war in place and valuations are high, primarily due to a handful of stocks.
348 days ago
Economist and Wealth Advisor Jonathan Davis believes that we could be repeating the 2008 banking crisis. He says that central bankers make incorrect statements about the future and have their own agendas often connected to politics and that the Fed is surrounded by incapable academics and often behind the curve.
372 days ago
Asset manager Michael Pento compares the huge increase in debt leading up to the 2008 financial crisis and the current debt bubble. It is not something for the squeamish.
372 days ago
Newsletter publisher and investor Adam Hamilton claims there is a seasonality in gold but there is also an overwhelming bull case which merits buying now.
442 days ago
Money manager Peter Grandich has a message that our own Nigel Somerville will be delighted to hear. Peter discusses the potential for this gold bull market and why it’s likely extraordinary. He says that Central Banks are buying at record levels, and many of those buying are doing it for safety reasons. He says that you should not bet against the Fed and don’t bet against central banks when it comes to gold and hence mining shares have yet to reflect what is happening, and are, arguably, as cheap as they can get regarding the price of gold.
455 days ago
Writer Craig Hemke, founder of TF Metals Report, says he expected a macro dip in 2022 but anticipated a faster recovery to a higher level than what transpired. The Fed hiked more than most expected as inflation got ahead of it, and the extent of the damage remains unknown.
559 days ago
Money manager David Brady explains why sentiment is a fantastic contrarian indicator for the metals sector.
593 days ago
Veteran businessman and analyst Simon Hunt is a cheerful chap. Not. His predictions are grim.
642 days ago
Author David Hay is plugging a new book, “Bubble 3.0” which is a warning about the problems inherent in the financial system. He says that the Fed is the main culprit for bubble creation, and such bubbles always get wrecked. The Fed has kept rates at great depression levels despite reasonable economic activity and that, Hay argues, is plain daft.
645 days ago
Certain readers of this website (naming no names, PL) reckon that, to make money, we should follow the inbred public school twits of the fund management community. Au contraire.
678 days ago
Author, David Murrin, warns there is a significant risk of conflict in Asia, including Korea and Taiwan. He states that China is gaining knowledge of drone technology, while the West is essentially at war with Russia; the level of collective delusion from Western leaders is concerning.
692 days ago
Asset manager David Brady believes another massive rally is coming for gold and that the Fed will reverse course. Countries never chose to default they always inflate their debts away. Markets today are centrally managed. What we have is not free-market capitalism.
708 days ago
Analyst, Chris Puplava, argues that Fed rate hikes don’t always result in recessions. He believes there is no spare capacity to compensate for a slowdown and, therefore, the Fed is limited in its ability to control inflation. The November elections are always a factor, and he doesn’t expect the Fed will tighten aggressively into the fall. Mortgage rate hikes, he argues, are already impacting the housing markets, as the interest rate pain threshold has been more pronounced with every debt cycle.
787 days ago
Forget Ukraine it is not the real driver of the bull case for gold. Analyst Keith Weiner explains what is and why the makes him a gold bull.
799 days ago
Analyst Mark O’Byrne is puzzled by gold’s lack of reaction to current global risks. He says that the metals should have moved higher in response to inflation. Supposedly, they are anticipating rate hikes but a large move seems unlikely as that would crash the markets. Inflation is not transitory and we’re just seeing the start of it. He expects weakness in the short term for gold as Fed takes some sort of action. Then he says that within a short period afterward, we will see gold break to the upside.
836 days ago
Ex broker and commentator Bill Holter of JSMineset makes it clear: inflation is unavoidable and that must send gold higher.The process is already underway.
861 days ago
Analyst Steven Van Metre has a stark warning for us all.
867 days ago
Analyst and silver bug David Morgan warns of the excessive risk created by the use of margin in markets. Excessive leverage led to the 1929 crash and the great depression. Investors can be wiped out if they are not careful.
883 days ago
Commentator Adrian Day says that “The Fed’s bark is worse than it’s bite.”
986 days ago
Celebrated author and investor Marc Faber does not mince his words. Most stock markets and sectors have underperformed compared with US Markets. This, Faber explains, is because every time the Fed prints, it ends up with corporations and the super-rich. Markets are no longer homogenous, and fiscal deficits are no longer expanding. This is making it more difficult for the entire market to move upwards.
1010 days ago
Alasdair Macleod, Head of Research For GoldMoney kicks off with the Fed’s levels of reverse repos and quantitative easing of 120 billion a month. Since the banks can’t absorb all the extra liquidity-seeking returns, he points out that the Fed must step into the market.
1116 days ago
Gold businessman Keith Weiner argues that there is no way to extinguish debt in our current system, so the total debt grows, and due to interest, it tends to grow exponentially. He says that in the past, the Fed loosened regulations and lowered rates, but it’s like they are now pushing on a string.
1126 days ago
Asset manager Michael Gayed warns the very fabric of society is at risk.
1267 days ago
Writer and trader Gary Wagner says that folks are waiting for more stimulus, but the next program will likely not arrive until February. The US economy continues to contract, and while some businesses are doing very well, others are being hit quite hard. The Fed has stated that interest rates will remain unchanged as it still has some options in their toolbox.He says that you can expect gold and equities to continue to do well in this environment.
1859 days ago
Author Danielle DiMartino Booth argues that it is iimportant that people understand the way central bank policies affect their lives. Her recent book reveals how the Fed has lost its way due to creating monetary policy based on market patterns and politics instead of economic metrics. She argues that the Fed is increasingly becoming backed into a corner ever since the money printing of 2008 with the introduction of “Zero Interest Rate Policies” and “Quantitative Easing.” Now the Fed has again become dovish over seemingly small corrections occurring in the markets.
3149 days ago
I got this piece written by a fellow called Simon Black, who runs the Sovereign Man website, today. Yes we live in la la land as Mr Black explains
